CBB Bets 1/19

Manhattan vs St. Peters – Total 120 – There has been a total of 120 on the board twice 2017 and it has gone over by an average of 14.5 points. Combined these teams are 8-2 when the total is 125 point or less, each going over by an average of 6 points. Will be a nail-biter but should go over. OVER 120 – 1 UNIT

Southern Mississippi vs. Charlotte – Southern Mississippi -3 – Since 2017 there have been 39 games in which the closing Spread was 3-6.5 points with a total of fewer than 125.5 points. 65.85 of the time the favorite covers a spread between 3-6.5 points. But in that same time period, an Away team favored by 3 points has covered the spread 53.4% of the time. 
In that same time period, Southern Mississippi covers the spread 52.4% of the time. Southern Mississippi has been an away favorite one time since 2017 and they failed to cover the spread by 14 points, they are 8-11 ATS as an away team failing to cover the spread by an average of 2.3 points. When Southern Miss has had 4 or more days off between games they only cover the spread 44.4% of the time. But they do cover the spread when coming off a win at 60% of the time, but on average only cover by .6 points. 
Charlotte, on the other hand, is one of the worst teams in the country at covering the spread with an ATS cover percentage of 34.2%. On average they fail to cover the spread by 2.4 points. When at home they cover the spread 36.8% of their games. With 4+ days of rest, they fail to cover the spread 75% of the time by an average of 3.2 points. When coming off a win the fail to cover the spread 85.7% of the time by an average of 4.4 points.
Final Analysis: Southern Mississippi has had 4 days off with the previous 2 games at home. Prior to this home stretch and break they played 5 straight road games and we’re 3-2 ATS. They were 1-1 ATS on their homestand. Out of 353 teams, Charlotte ranks 343 ATS, Southern Mississippi ranks 127th. So. Miss -3 – 1 Unit

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Author: Chris Adkins

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